According to the last Gallup/USA Today poll, "support for an unnamed Democratic congressional candidate over a Republican one narrowed to 2 percentage points, 47%-45%, among registered voters". Among "regular voters", the two parties are tied at 48%. In late June, Democrats led by 16 points. This is the worst result for Democrats in the whole 2006. At the same time, President Bush's job approval rose from 37% to 42%: the highest approval rating in six months. USA Today explains the Republican growth as a consequence of "the arrest of terror suspects in London", but other polling firms - like Rasmussen Reports - explains that Democrats started loosing ground "since Ned Lamont defeated Joe Lieberman in the Connecticut Senate primary". In any case, Democrats' hopes for gaining the control of at least one branch of the Congress, in november mid-term elections, seem much smaller than just a few weeks ago.
p.s. To better understand the methodology behind "generic congressional ballots" polls, you can read this old post at Mystery Pollster.
Round-Up: Liberty and Justice, Blue Crab Boulevard, Crosstabs.org, Decision '08, Andrew Sullivan, Outside the Beltway, Macsmind, Transform Houston, Environmental Republican, The Pink Flamingo, Lifelike Pundits, The Talk Show American, Respublica.
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